First off is It Might as Well Rain Until September by Carole King:
and second is I Must Belong Somewhere by Bright Eyes. Below I've included the lyrics because it occurred to me that Conor Oberst is probably one of the best songwriters of this decade. Then I thought "humm...maybe I'm not qualified to say something like that"...so I went to one of the most and so it wasn't very surprising to see that The Rolling Stones (which, despite putting the Jonas Brothers on their cover and selling out in numerous other ways is still probably the most influential rock magazine in the US) named him the Best Songwriter of 2008.
Here's the song, the lyrics, and the RS article: